Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Echoes of Iraq as Hawks Push for Attack on Iran

by Zachary Roth

Emboldened by President Obama's political struggles, foreign-policy hard-liners are stepping up efforts to press the administration to take a tougher stance -- and perhaps even launch an attack -- on Iran.

[Sen. Lindsey Graham's close ally McCain (R-Ariz.) urged Obama to "do something dramatically different" on Iran, by publicly "advocating regime change."  (AP Photo/The Canadian Press, Andrew Vaughan) ]Sen. Lindsey Graham's close ally McCain (R-Ariz.) urged Obama to "do something dramatically different" on Iran, by publicly "advocating regime change." (AP Photo/The Canadian Press, Andrew Vaughan)
Some observers see parallels with the successful multiyear campaign for a U.S. invasion of Iraq. "The theoreticians who called for war in Iraq as a way to stop Saddam acquiring weapons of mass destruction are at it again, with the same playbook," Joel Rubin of the liberal National Security Network told The Upshot.

Of course, advocates of an aggressive foreign policy have long talked up the notion of an attack on Iran as a means of preventing the Islamic republic from acquiring a nuclear weapon -- remember Sen. John McCain's "Bomb Iran" performance from the 2008 presidential campaign? But with a weakened president, the effort to promote a military strike is "definitely going into a higher gear" of late, Matthew Duss of the liberal Center for American Progress told The Upshot.

On Saturday, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, a prominent Republican voice for an aggressive foreign policy, floated the idea of an all-out offensive against President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's regime -- "not to just neutralize their nuclear program, but to sink their navy, destroy their air force and deliver a decisive blow to the Revolutionary Guard. In other words, neuter that regime. Destroy their ability to fight back."

Speaking at an international conference in Halifax, Canada, Graham held out the prospect of Republican support if President Obama goes beyond the administration's current policy of tough economic sanctions.

Graham is not alone. At the same event, his close ally McCain (R-Ariz.) urged Obama to "do something dramatically different" on Iran, by publicly "advocating regime change."

In late September, more than 50 House Republicans, including Minority Leader John Boehner, signed a letter to the president: "We urge you to take whatever action is necessary to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. All options should be on the table in curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions."

Just days before last week's midterms, Washington Post columnist David Broder raised eyebrows by arguing that Obama should ramp up arms production and create "a showdown with the mullahs" in order to kick-start the U.S. economy and boost his political standing. Versions of Broder's argument had already been made this year two separate times, by neoconservative foreign policy thinkers Elliott Abrams and Daniel Pipes. Abrams was a staffer on President George W. Bush's National Security Council, where he had strongly advocated for the invasion of Iraq. And Pipes, as the founder and director of the conservative Middle East Forum think tank, was also a staunch supporter of the Iraq war.

Obama has consistently advocated a diplomatic approach to dealing with Iran, and he's unlikely to do an about-face. But advocates of a military strike may be playing a longer game. Here again, critics point to the precedent of the Iraq invasion. During the 1990s, a well-connected group of neoconservative foreign policy thinkers, including Weekly Standard Editor Bill Kristol and Richard Perle, who would later chair the Defense Policy Advisory Board in the George W. Bush administration, worked with Republicans in Congress to pass the Iraq Liberation Act, making regime change in Iraq the official policy of the U.S. government. The legislation wasn't aimed at spurring then-President Clinton to launch an invasion -- there was little chance of that. Instead, the idea was to give the goal of regime change long-term momentum and a bipartisan veneer, since the law was signed by a Democratic president. That helped pave the way once the country had a Republican president more likely to sign off on an invasion.

Supporters of the Obama administration's diplomatic approach say that advocates of an Iran invasion are pursuing the same long-term strategy now.:By putting the issue on the table right now, Iran hawks are hoping to limit the president's room to maneuver, and make it easier for a future president to launch a military strike. "Iraq didn't happen in two months," Rubin told The Upshot, noting that it took five years from the passage of the Iraq Liberation Act in 1998 until the 2003 invasion. "So this is the playbook."

Indeed, Marc Lynch of Foreign Policy magazine wrote recently that he's anticipating "some kind of Iran Liberation Act on the horizon" from the GOP Congress.

Duss agreed. "You see them running a very similar game as they ran in the '90s," he said. During that period, Republicans and their allies frustrated many of Clinton's political goals, "then offered [the Iraq Liberation Act] as a way to be bipartisan."

And last week's election results give the hawks more leverage. "After the election, they feel the broader Obama agenda has been rejected," Rubin said. "There's a feeling they may have Obama a bit more on the ropes." And that, in turn, may make the president more willing to move toward the GOP on Iran policy, observers say. "Graham is saying: If [Obama] wants Republican support and bipartisanship, being tougher on Iran would work," according to Rubin.

Starting in January, advocates of a tougher line on Iran will have powerful allies in Congress who could help advance that plan. Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), a veteran Iran hawk who has downplayed the effectiveness of sanctions, will take over as chairwoman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Rubin, Duss and others who oppose the hawks' escalating rhetoric say there's no doubt that Iran is a genuine threat to world security. But they argue that publicly raising the threat of a military strike is likely to be counterproductive. "Launching a third war in the Middle East against a Muslim country," Rubin wrote in the Jewish Chronicle on Monday, "will increase our vulnerability to terrorist attack, will increase the likelihood that Iran will accelerate its nuclear program, will expose Israel to powerful military attack with unpredictable consequences, will place our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan at risk, will severely harm the Iranian people and will trigger a new oil crisis."

Still, the call for a more aggressive stance is winning support from America's top ally in the Middle East. On Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly told Vice President Joe Biden that Iran must be made to fear a military strike -- a departure from Netanyahu's previous focus on diplomacy as the best counter to Iran's nuclear ambitions.

Sunday, November 7, 2010

Anti-Nuclear Rally Protests Against 'Chernobyl on Wheels'

Anti-Nuclear Rally Protests Against 'Chernobyl on Wheels'

Protesters confront Areva shipment of 123 tons of radioactive waste on 900-mile run from France to Germany

by Kim Willsher in Paris and Kate Connolly in Berlin

About 30,000 anti-nuclear protesters are expected to demonstrate Saturday against a shipment of highly radioactive nuclear waste, nicknamed "Chernobyl on wheels", that is being moved across France and Germany by train.

[Police approach a group of anti-nuclear activists who attached themselves to railway tracks to block a train (L rear) carrying nuclear waste to Germany during a protest near Caen November 5, 2010. Activists from "Sortir du nucleaire" (Phasing out the nuclear age) halted the train in the northwestern city of Caen after its departure from Valognes. ]Police approach a group of anti-nuclear activists who attached themselves to railway tracks to block a train (L rear) carrying nuclear waste to Germany during a protest near Caen November 5, 2010. Activists from "Sortir du nucleaire" (Phasing out the nuclear age) halted the train in the northwestern city of Caen after its departure from Valognes.
Although the exact route of the convoy is being kept secret, protesters have organized demonstrations at cities along its 900-mile route.

At least 17,000 German riot police are poised for what could be one of the biggest anti-nuclear demonstrations in years. By early this afternoon hundreds of activists had chained themselves to trees along the route or were preparing to lock themselves to the railway track.

The specially constructed low-speed train, carrying 123 tonnes of German radioactive waste, which was reprocessed in eastern France, started out today from Valognes, Normandy, near La Hague. It was expected to cross the French-German border early tomorrow and to arrive in Gorleben, in the far north-east of Lower Saxony, a few hours later.

Yannick Rousselet, of Greenpeace, said: "Never in history has such a quantity of radioactive material ever been transported."

Laura Hameaux, of Sortir du Nucléaire, a network of 875 anti-nuclear groups, said: "It is at least twice the radioactivity of all the radioactive pollution from the Chernobyl catastrophe and [local people] haven't even been informed of its route."

The waste convoy is the 11th of its type between France and Germany since 1996. In 2004 an anti-nuclear protester died in France after his leg was cut off by a train transporting nuclear waste to Germany. He had been sitting on the railway track.

Protesters have tried to block previous trains, but protests over the latest convoy have been boosted in Germany by growing public anger at the decision by Angela Merkel's government to extend the life of the country's existing nuclear power plants for an extra 12 years.

The decision is a reversal of one of the policy achievements of the government of the former Social Democratic chancellor Gerhard Schröder. Areva, the industrial conglomerate and leader in nuclear power, has agreements with Germany, Japan, Switzerland, Belgium and Holland to reprocess spent fuel from nuclear power plants. It receives, stores and processes the fuel, which remains the property of the country that produced it; the waste is sent back after treatment.

The latest shipment of waste will arrive in the German town of Dannenberg tomorrow and be transported the final 12 miles by lorry to Gorleben to be dumped into underground shafts. There are doubts about the safety of the storage following evidence of a high danger of groundwater contamination at the site.

Rebecca Harms, a Green MEP, said she expected the protest to be the biggest for years. "This year's transport of nuclear waste will provoke more opposition than ever before. It's time that people's concerns are finally listened to." she said.

Greenpeace has warned that the load contains even higher than normal levels of radioactive waste, due to the fact that the rods were in use for longer than usual.

Police and politicians have called for the nuclear industry, and not the taxpayer, to foot the €50m (£43m) bill the security operation is expected to cost.

Areva said today: "All operations related to these transports and the equipment used comply with the relevant national and international regulations that have been issued with the involvement of representatives from member states." The company insists the waste containers have been designed to withstand a 50-meter fall on to concrete and a fire of 800C (1,472F) lasting 30 minutes.

Christophe Neugnot, Areva spokesman, called Greenpeace's action a smokescreen avoiding "the real issue of the rebirth of nuclear power throughout Europe". He said: "If we want to produce electricity all the time at a reduced price and without heating up the planet we cannot do without nuclear. Renewable energies remain insufficient today. This convoy is less radioactive than six similar transports carried out by Areva in the last few years. We have nothing to hide." Greenpeace is suing Areva for what is says is "illegal storage of waste" at Valognes.

Anti-nuclear protesters said they were not aiming to hold up the convoy but highlight the failure of the nuclear industry to find long-term solutions to the waste it produces. Every year about 7,000 cubic meters of waste are produced by the 143 nuclear reactors in the EU. "It's like thinking up the idea of an airplane without thinking of where it's going to land," Rousselet said.

Waste disposal

The radioactive by-products of nuclear fission were processed by heating the waste until the liquid evaporated and formed a powder which was then "vitrified" - fused with glass in a melting furnace. The molten glass was then poured into stainless steel canisters, left to cool and fitted with a welded cover. The canisters, weighing 400kg each, are being carried in 11 train wagons made of forged steel or cast iron that have been used to transport nuclear waste between France and Germany since 1996. Another four carriages in the train are occupied by French CRS - armed riot police - ready to intervene in the event of security breaches. Helicopters are flying over the train paying particular attention to bridges and possible obstacles on the railway line. On arrival the estimated 308 canisters will be removed from their casks and buried into rock.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Aquino grants amnesty to rebel senator, troops - INQUIRER.net, Philippine News for Filipinos

Aquino grants amnesty to rebel senator, troops - INQUIRER.net, Philippine News for Filipinos

Aquino grants amnesty to rebel senator, troops
By Maila Ager, Christine Avendaño
INQUIRER.net, Philippine Daily Inquirer

MANILA, Philippines – (UPDATE) President Benigno Aquino III announced Tuesday that he signed a proclamation granting amnesty to rebel soldiers and officers linked to military uprisings in 2003 and 2006.

The President said he submitted the proclamation, which he signed on Monday, to Congress for its concurrence.

"The proclamation needs the concurrence [of] both chambers of Congress," Mr. Aquino told reporters after attending a function of the Department of Trade and Industry in Mandaluyong City.

He confirmed that detained Senator Antonio Trillanes IV was covered by the amnesty proclamation.

Trillanes who, as a Navy officer then, led a band of soldiers that took over the posh Oakwood Apartments in Makati City in July 27, 2003 to demand the resignation of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and ranking military officials over corruption allegations. The shortlived mutiny led to the arrest of Trillanes who ran and won a seat in the Senate in 2007.

Three years after in 2006, the Marines, led by Colonel Ariel Querubin, staged a standoff at Fort Bonifacio also to demand the resignation of Arroyo.

Querubin, who was also jailed, has since been freed. He ran but lost in the May national elections when he ran for senator under then presidential candidate Manny Villar’s Nacionalista Party.

With a report from Radyo Inquirer

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Top US Commander: Wars Hurting Hunt for WMDs -- News from Antiwar.com

Top US Commander: Wars Hurting Hunt for WMDs -- News from Antiwar.com

Top US Commander: Wars Hurting Hunt for WMDs

Special Forces Spending Too Much Time Fighting Wars

by Jason Ditz, August 27, 2010

In a letter to the Senate Armed Services Committee, SOCOM commander Admiral Eric Olson has warned that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are significantly hurting the ability of his forces to hunt for weapons of mass destruction.

Fewer commandos are available for such hunts, Olson warned, because so many of them are committed to fighting these wars. He warned that the threat of terrorists getting WMDs “is greater now than at any other time in history.”

Olson had previously expressed hope that the effort could “be redoubled” as those wars wind down. But with the Afghan War seemingly lasting forever and the growing prospect of US troops staying in Iraq past 2011, it seems SOCOM will be fighting wars for quite some time.

SOCOM special forces have been seen in particular as being active in Afghanistan, where they are credited with having killed 365 “top Taliban commanders” in the past three months alone. Due to their secretive nature, however, it is unclear how many are deployed where.

Mullen: National Debt Is ‘Top’ National Security Threat -- News from Antiwar.com

Mullen: National Debt Is ‘Top’ National Security Threat -- News from Antiwar.com

Mullen: National Debt Is ‘Top’ National Security Threat

Insists Economy Must Grow to Support More Military Spending

by Jason Ditz, August 27, 2010

Speaking today in Detroit, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Admiral Michael Mullen took on the rare task of declaring what he believed was the “top” threat to America’s national security going forward. It wasn’t Iran, it wasn’t North Korea, it wasn’t even some ill-defined group of factions called “terrorism.” It was the national debt.

The most significant threat to our national security it the debt,” Mullen insisted, adding that it is “so important that the economy move in the right direction” to pay for more military spending going forward.

“The resources that our military uses are directly related to the health of our economy,” Mullen warned. When lamenting that the US taxpayers will pay $600 billion in interest on the debt in 2012, Mullen noted “that’s one year worth of defense budget.”

Mullen’s visit was primarily aimed at pressing arms manufacturers to hire more veterans, adding that it was “patriotic” to integrate soldiers into the local work force and insisting that industry and military leaders share the same goals. He added that military funds to buy more weapons to arm more soldiers would be leveraged “as much as possible” to companies to hire veterans.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Petraeus: We’re Not Leaving Iraq -- News from Antiwar.com

Petraeus: We’re Not Leaving Iraq -- News from Antiwar.com

Petraeus: We’re Not Leaving Iraq

Pentagon Surprised to Hear Reports that War Ended

by Jason Ditz, August 19, 2010

As Obama Administration officials and a willing mainstream media report that yesterday was the end of the Iraq War it would likely surprise many that 56,000 US troops remain on the ground engaging in combat operations.

But it seems like the spin is even more surprising to the Pentagon leadership, as Gen. David Petraeus was pressed today on whether this was the right time to have left Iraq, and he said what he most likely wasn’t supposed to say.

First of all we are not leaving,” Petraues insisted, adding that “there are 50,000 US troops that are remaining in Iraq” and that they retain an “enormous capability.” It is a capability that is tough to reconcile with the official story that these are all just trainers.

Gen. Petraeus could perhaps be forgiven for not being on message. After all, he is still getting his bearings as the new commander in Afghanistan and probably didn’t have time to catch the news on MSNBC.

But then Pentagon Press Secretary Geoff Morrell declared, on MSNBC, “I don’t think anybody has declared the end of the war as far as I know.” He perhaps missed the headlines across the American press declaring exactly that, and the number of Obama Administration officials crowing about the “promise kept” to end the war.

President Obama’s decision to select yesterday as the official “victory” day for Iraq appears to have taken a lot of people by surprise, not the least being all those troops still in Iraq and still fighting. But the Pentagon’s break with them, admitting that the war is still going on while the media-friendly celebration is still going on, certainly complicates the already ill-defined message.

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Police torture video triggers outrage - INQUIRER.net, Philippine News for Filipinos

Police torture video triggers outrage - INQUIRER.net, Philippine News for Filipinos

Police torture video triggers outrage
By DJ Yap
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 01:48:00 08/19/2010

MANILA, Philippines—A TV news video of a holdup suspect allegedly being tortured by a Manila police precinct commander Wednesday led to his suspension and that of his 21 officers and an investigation by three agencies, officials said.

Tuesday’s ABS-CBN footage, shot with a cell phone camera, showed a naked and bound man, grimacing apparently in great pain on the floor of what was described as the precinct station on Asuncion Street in Tondo district.

A man identified as Senior Insp. Joselito Binayug, the precinct chief, was tugging at a string tied to the genitals of the victim, who remained unidentified, each time he failed to answer questions.

ABS-CBN said the man later died. Details on the victim have not been officially released. The Philippine Daily Inquirer tried but failed to get a comment from Binayug.

Chief Supt. Rodolfo Magtibay, director of the Manila Police District, said the person who shot the footage should come forward to identify those in the video but that he would understand if fear prevented this.

“There are other ways to build our case,” he said.

Magtibay said he visited the Asuncion precinct on Tuesday and found that it did seem to be the place where the video was taken.

PNP vows swift action

The incident was roundly condemned by officials of the Philippine National Police, Department of Justice and Commission on Human Rights who all decided to conduct separate investigations.

“Such actions do not have any place in an organization that espouses respect for human rights,” said PNP Director General Jesus Verzosa.

“Any form of brutality and abuse of authority by PNP personnel will not be tolerated and will be dealt with swiftly and decisively according to our own disciplinary rules and internal policy,” Verzosa added.

Senior Supt. Agrimero Cruz, PNP spokesperson, said all 22 officers had been relieved and their liability for violation of Republic Act No. 9745, or the Anti-Torture Act of 2009, would be investigated. He said the men also would undergo neuropsychiatric tests.

Manila Mayor Alfredo S. Lim said the precinct would be converted into an “outpost” while its members were being investigated.

“That’s inhumane. That kind of maltreatment of the suspect should not be countenanced,” Lim said.

Test case

Justice Secretary Leila de Lima described the scene caught in the video as a “ghastly sight.”

She said her department would investigate the incident and prosecute those involved “to the fullest extent of the law.”

“Torture cases are not exclusive to any one body or agency,” De Lima said in a statement. “A strong message must be sent to all those who would engage in torture that this practice will not be tolerated and will, in fact, be strenuously punished.”

According to De Lima, the incident could be a good test case for the Anti-Torture Act to see if it could be “an effective tool for greater accountability and diminished impunity.”

“There is no place within our law enforcement agencies for individuals capable of engaging in something so utterly worthy of universal condemnation,” she said.

Human Rights Commissioner Cecilia Quisumbing said a family had gotten in touch with her office to say that a kin missing since March “looked close enough” like the man in the video. She said she would help the family view the ABS-CBN video.

Since Jan. 1, 2009, 13 cases of torture against members of the military and the police have been filed in the Commission on Human Rights. With reports from Alcuin Papa, Marlon Ramos, Leila B. Salaverria and Mikko Morelos